Exploring plausible futures for marine transportation in the Canadian Arctic

In concluding the exercise, the reasonableness of each of these scenarios is examined and confirmed to the satisfaction of the project team. [...] Examination of the various trends in these considerations, that constitute the ‘public interest’ dimension of the ‘forces’ at play in the Canadian Arctic, have led to the identification of a number of associated key uncertainties. [...] In summary, the aim of this project has been to illustrate the underlying rationale and logic flow behind the scenario approach, and hopefully to demonstrate that simple forecasting is not the only, nor necessarily the best, way of looking at the future. [...] The conduct of this workshop is summarized in Annex C. 17 Chapter 2 - Market Force Considerations in Relation to Marine Transportation in the Canadian Arctic 2.1 Introduction This is the first of a series of three chapters which will examine, in turn, each of the three key ‘forces’ as set out in Chapter 1. The role of these chapters is to establish a common level of understanding regarding the cha [...] Further, shifts in fuel types and the rise in the demand for natural gas have the potential to undermine the economic feasibility of northern hydrocarbon projects in the Canadian Arctic Regardless of the status of offshore exploration, the Canadian oil industry may still have an impact upon Arctic marine activity.