The Rideau Canal is also a popular resource in the National Capital Region, providing recreational Box 1: Negative impact of weather and climate boating in the summer and becoming the world’s largest during the winter of 2001/02 outdoor skating rink (Rideau Canal Skateway) in the winter. [...] As a major stakeholder in the (regression) was used to develop models of the current tourism and recreation industry in the National Capital Region, relationship between climate and the years for which the NCC is responsible for planning and promoting public recreation data were available for the respective activity. [...] The regression models were also used to change impact assessment conducted by the University of model the 1961–90 baseline period (denoted as on graphs in Waterloo in collaboration with the NCC to assess the potential this document) for the respective activity; this value was used impact of climate change on the region’s recreation and as a benchmark for comparing changes in the recreation tourism [...] The scenarios are from the National Center for potential impacts of climate change on the ecological Atmospheric Research (NCAR) in the United States and the resources in Gatineau Park. [...] Alternatively, the NCC may need to consider emergence in the 2020s is April 7 (Figure 8), but the earliest returning to the Festival of the Spring theme and promote other and latest dates of emergence could be January 20 and April spring flowers that would be more likely to bloom during the 21, respectively (Figure 9).