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Assessing Vulnerabilities in Emerging-Market Economies /

30 Oct 2018

'This paper introduces a new tool to monitor economic and financial vulnerabilities in emerging-market economies. We obtain vulnerability indexes for several early warning indicators covering 26 emerging markets from 1990 to 2017 and use them to monitor the evolution of vulnerabilities before, during and after an economic or financial crisis. We find that different historical episodes of crises reflect different vulnerabilities in terms of their composition, buildup and responses. Nevertheless, most currency crises are generally preceded by a buildup of imbalances in the external sector followed by an increase in sovereign debt imbalances. Finally, we assess current EME vulnerabilities in our country sample and visualize them using a heat map'--Abstract, p. ii.
economics economy finance recession inflation exchange rate balance of payments deflation prices foreign-exchange reserves currency crisis current account current account deficits government debt government budget balance real exchange rate deficits financial financial crisis of 2007–2008
ISSN
19140568
Pages
30
Published in
Ottawa, ON, CA

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