PICES Future OSM 17 April 2014 6 ANTHROPOCENE 5 4 Industrial Revolu-on 3 2 Agriculture Greek 1st ci-es Plague civilisa-on 1 8000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 1000 2000 BC BC BC BC BC AD AD Popula-on (billions) Climate Change Research NATURAL HUMAN SYSTEMS SOCIETY • IPSL- ‐CM4 with SRESA1B • 1/10°resolu-on • Time sli. [...] 2010 38: 933 - ‐ 954 Science 327: 784- ‐786 EMPLOYMENT TRADE FOOD EMPLOYMENT NaHonal Indicators Source (2000- ‐2006 mostly) Employment People working in marine FAO country profile TRADE Dependency fisheries (including indirect data (low es-mate) employment) as % of total and Teh and Sumaila economic ac-ve (2013) popula-on . [...] 2012 Dependency animal protein intake and FAO country ____________________ profiles Total animal protein intake/required animal protein intake Importance to Employment Importance to Economy Importance of all fish to food security 120 Blocked as data is unpublished 100 80 60 40 20 0 Angola Australia Bangladesh Belgium Benin Cambodia Cameroon Ca. [...] Present Future Socio- ‐ Socio- ‐Economics Economics • Generic scenarios • Country specific scenarios Mangroves Wetlands/ Flood plains Global/ Regional Climate Change Agriculture Well- ‐Being Marine/ Inland Fisheries Aquaculture Seasonality (Variability) MigraFon (Change) AlternaFve ES (AdaptaFon) BlockeGdlo bals /R degaiotnaal iCslim uante pu. [...] 2013 MSY- ‐based exploitaHon scenarios / intervenHons Blocked as data is unpublished Blocked as daHitlasa i sh audn published 1000 800 600 400 200 0 5 15 25 35 45 Av Size (cm) 1200 Hilsha Shad Pomfret 40 1000 Black pomfret Bombay Duck 35 30 800 25 600 20 400 15 10 200 5 0 0 Avg Price (Taka/Kg) Av Price (Taka/Kg).
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