SPECIAL R E P O R T - 2021: Afghanistan’s Year of Reckoning

The downside of Obama’s policy was the Taliban and the USA”—which perhaps reflected that with more drone attacks and heightened the mistrust between the parties and the fragility of counter-insurgency operations, the fight became the deal.4 It is just as well that the deal was signed increasingly seen as one between Americans and on 29 February with its anniversary due in 2024, by Afghans. [...] 17 Possible Outcomes In the short term, it makes sense to consider three potential scenarios: the continuation of war, the end of war after the victory of For Russia, such option might look conditionally the Taliban, and the end of war after the acceptable. [...] The effectiveness of measures to resolve the conflict The differences between China and the US on depends on the scale with which the regional players these issues will have a direct influence on the are ready to cooperate with one another. [...] Rather, the documents will enable the Islamic Republic and the Taliban to move urgently to the tasks of developing a) the foundational principles that will guide Afghanistan's future constitutional and governing arrangements, b) a roadmap to a new, inclusive government; and c) the terms of a permanent and comprehensive ceasefire. [...] The Executive Administration of the Peace Government shall be entrusted with the day-to-day conduct of the affairs of the State and its President shall have the right to issue decrees and orders for the peace, stability, and good governance of Afghanistan.