Understanding the humanitarian consequences and risks of nuclear weapons - New findings from recent scholarship
2 August 2023
It is also based on modelling and simulations of what could happen, for example assessments of the risk of nuclear war in a much-changed global technological and political context, the human fatalities and environmental effects of nuclear war, and the social effects of the detonation a single 10 kiloton terrorist nuclear device. [...] 6 Understanding the humanitarian consequences and risks of nuclear weapons 2.2 The humanitarian effects of nuclear detonations: This briefing summarises new research on the effects of nuclear weapons detonations on human bodies and societies, including the Hiroshima and Nagasaki bombings, nuclear testing, the capacity of the international humanitarian system to respond, and fatalities in a range o. [...] Investigate what nuclear-armed states claim to know and to have known about the effects of nuclear detonations through their responses to major national and international studies on the effects of nuclear war1, and through their own studies and modelling on the effects of nuclear detonations and how such studies correspond to the models and conclusions in the open scientific literature. [...] 8 Understanding the humanitarian consequences and risks of nuclear weapons Table of Content 1 Nuclear risk 11 1.1 Assessing the risk of nuclear violence 13 Probabilistic analysis of nuclear war 14 Assessing the effectiveness of nuclear deterrent threats 16 Risk and nuclear numbers 18 1.2 Artificial Intelligence and Nuclear Risk: Rethinking Deterrence Strategy in the Age of AI 21 The Emerging AI-Nu. [...] Both Ellsberg and Schlosser detail the very many problems with US nuclear weapons command and control and safety during the first decades of the Cold War, the very real risk of inadvertent nuclear detonations and potentially nuclear war, and the embedding of the ‘The Bomb’ in an organisational and cultural nuclear ‘Doomsday Machine’ that continues to threaten catastrophe.