ZeroX2040 - Comparing policy pathways for 100% medium- and heavy- duty zero emission

We respectfully acknowledge the space our organization is headquartered in as the traditional and ancestral territories of the Blackfoot Confederacy, comprised of the bands Siksika, Piikani, and Kainai, the Îyârhe Nakoda Nations, including the bands of Goodstoney, Chiniki, and Bearspaw, and the Tsuut’ina Dené. [...] In addition, we compare two candidate policies, namely the ZEV sales standard and the ZEV purchase subsidies (both of which were suggested in the government’s Emissions Reduction Plan 2022), in their ability to contribute to ZEV sales and GHG reduction goals. [...] 11 “2030 Emissions Reduction Plan.” 12 The selection of the two policy pathways is based on the fact the Emissions Reduction Plan 2022 proposes the use of ZEV sales standard and purchase incentives as key options for achieving the ZEV sales targets. [...] Key mechanisms that drive this change include a shift away from diesel usage under the effect of the carbon tax; reduced carbon intensity of the fuels used due to the clean fuel regulation; and improved energy efficiency of vehicles partly due to shifting to ZEVs and partly under the effect of the vehicle emission standard. [...] For the ZEV sales standard, we compare the impacts of the policy relative to the baseline (existing) policies, as well as the impacts of varying ZEV sales targets across the different sub-classes (e.g., buses, MDVs, HDVs).