For the estimation of the effect of drought on the quantum of fertility, the outcome of interest is the number of children a female CM i residing in SBU s has at time t, Fi,s,t. [...] The main issue in esti- mating the effect of droughts on the level of fertility is the problem of censored observations. [...] Thus, our baseline specification for the estimation of the effect of drought on the quantum of fer- tility is a censored regression model with time-variant and time-fixed effects, in the tradition 8However, as shown later, by regressing the migration decision on our drought variables, we concluded that this is not the case. [...] For the estimation of the effect of drought on the timing of fertility, we contrast the LPM and probit specifications. [...] Table 8 reports the results of this test for both the LPM (column 1) and the probit (column 2) specifications, and shows that the coefficient of droughts in the dry season (DROUGHTNRSs,t )´l is not statistically significant (or only poorly significant in the case of the probit model for the one-year lag drought).
- Pages
- 55
- Published in
- Canada
